Prediction of minor disruptions in Keda Torus eXperiment
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Yuan Zhang,
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Yanqi Wu,
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Yolbarsop Adil,
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Hong Li,
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Wentan Yan,
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Xianhao Rao,
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Jinlin Xie,
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Tao Lan,
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Adi Liu,
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Wenzhe Mao,
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Chu Zhou,
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Zixi Liu,
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Ge Zhuang,
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Wandong Liu
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Abstract
This study investigates minor disruptions in the Keda Torus eXperiment (KTX) and presents a deep learning-based approach for disruption prediction. Plasma disruptions in magnetic confinement devices are critical to operational safety, making their prediction essential. Machine learning methods provide a foundation for predicting disruptions and informing mitigation strategies. Although the stabilizing shell in reverse-field pinch devices typically suppresses disruptions, minor disruptions occur frequently in KTX and are closely linked to plasma current center-of-gravity displacement. This work demonstrates, for the first time, the accurate and effective prediction of minor disruptions in a reverse-field pinch configuration. The KTX Recurrent Neural Network (KRNN) prediction framework, which integrates two-dimensional closed-boundary eddy-current diagnostic arrays, additional diagnostic methods, and long/short-term memory networks (LSTMs), enables early warning of minor disruptions and supports active feedback control. Notably, the two-dimensional closed-boundary electromagnetic probe array in KTX, which captures more spatial distribution information than one-dimensional arrays, extends the early warning time for minor disruptions by an average of 21.1%. The KRNN achieves a maximum prediction accuracy of 98%.
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